Courant Institute New York University FAS CAS GSAS

Math-ua.0233 / V63.0233: Theory of Probability

Term: Fall 2011
Meeting times: MW 2:00-3:15 PM
Recitation times:
Instructor: Professor Raghu Varadhan
Office: TBA
Office hours: TBD
Phone: 212-998-3334
Email: varadhan@cims.nyu.edu

Goals and Topics

An introduction to the mathematical treatment of random phenomena occurring in the natural, physical, and social sciences. Axioms of mathematical probability, combinatorial analysis, binomial distribution, Poisson and normal approximation, random variables and probability distributions, generating functions, the Central Limit Theorem and Laws of Large Numbers.

Logistics

Class

The class meets Mondays through Thursdays 2:00-4:15pm in Silver Center 501.

Homework

Homework will be assigned weekly and collected on Tuesdays. In fairness to the other students in the course, late homework will generally not be accepted. We will, however, drop the lowest homework score in computation of final grades. Please talk to the instructor in cases of emergency. 

Participation

IThere are three ways to earn credit for course participation: attendance, presenting in class during group exercises, and bookmarking web pages online (more about this later).

Quizzes

Quizzes will be given on Thursdays.  Quizzes will start at the beginning of class.  We will also drop the lowest quiz.

Exams

There will a midterm examination and a final exam, in the regular classroom at the regular class time.

Grades

Grades will be computed by a weighted average:

Homework     10%        
Participation     10%        
Quizzes     20%        
Midterm     30%        
Final     30% 
Total    100%   

Final scores will be converted to letter grades beginning with the following scale:

93 A
90 A-
87 B+
83 B
80 B-
75 C+
65 C
50 D

As for a curve, these cutoffs might be adjusted, but only in the downward direction (to make letter grades higher).

Text

A First Course in Probability Theory by Sheldon Ross. Available in the bookstore.

Website

Course materials and other details will be published on Blackboard.

Conclusion

The first problem set:
  • Read Sections 1.1 and 1.2 of the textbook
  • Do Problems 1 and 4 from Chapter 1 (page 16) and check your answers in the back of the book. You do not need to turn in these "practice" exercises.
  • Do Problem 3 from Chapter 1 and Theoretical Exercise 2 from Chapter 1 (page 18) and turn them in.

We look forward to a productive and informative term