Mathematical Finance Seminar

February 22, 2001 , 5:30 PM to 7:00 PM

Duncan Foley, New School University and Columbia University

Statistical equilibrium issues in financial market modeling.

The statistical equilibrium model of a simple market for a financial asset confined to buyers and sellers predicts a dispersion of transaction prices which could be exploited profitably by an arbitrageur able to take positions on both sides of the market. When the measure of arbitrageurs becomes significant compared to the measure of the fundamental buyers and sellers, the effect of arbitrage is to reduce the dispersion of fundamental transaction prices. Issues of time and interpretation of the resulting theory of fluctuations remain only partially resolved.