Calibrating Volatility Surfaces Via Relative Entropy Minimization
Marco Avellaneda, Craig Friedman, Richard Holmes, Dominick Samperi
IJTAF, 1997
We present a framework
for calibrating a pricing model to a prescribed set of option prices
quoted in the market. Our algorithm yields an arbitrage-free diffusion process
that minimizes the relative entropy distance to a prior diffusion. We
solve a constrained (minimax) optimal control problem using a finite-difference
scheme for a Bellman parabolic equation combined with a gradient-based optimization
routine. The number of unknowns in the optimization is equal to the
number of option prices that need to be matched, and is independent
of the mesh-size used for the scheme. This results in an efficient, non-parametric,
calibration method that can match an arbitrary number of option
prices to any desired degree of accuracy. The algorithm can be used
to interpolate, both in strike and expiration date, between implied
volatilities of traded options and to price exotics. The stability and qualitative
properties of the computed volatility surface are discussed, including
the effect of the Bayesian prior on the shape of the surface and on
the implied volatility smile/skew. The method is illustrated by calibrating
to market prices of Dollar-Deutschemark over-the-counter options and computing
interpolated implied volatility curves.